December 4, 2022

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Dow futures: Technicians lead the stock market to recovery;  Investors see the end of the Fed's rate hike

Dow futures rise after the market rebounds from key levels; 5 profit winners

Dow Jones futures rose early Friday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. The stock market rally slumped Thursday morning on the back of the Fed’s hawkish data, extending Wednesday’s losses. However, the major indices rebounded from some key levels to close slightly lower.




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Treasury yields rebounded while crude oil prices fell.

apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and the parent of Google the alphabet (The Google), the only three trillion-dollar stocks on US stock exchanges, after testing support at the 50-day moving averages. while, Tesla (TSLA) fell towards the lows of the bear market.

Investors should be careful in the current market, adding exposure slowly and willing to quickly take profits and cut losses.

earnings

Applied materials (AMAT), Palo Alto Networks (Banu), The field is empty (CLFD) And the Ross Stores (Rust) All EPS and sales figures topped Late Thursday, with strong guidance also overall.

AMAT stock rose strongly early on Friday, poised to return above the 200-day line. PANW stock jumped, indicating a move above the 50-day. CLFD stock rallied in the extended trade, looking to race above its 50-day line as it attempts to build the right side of the base of a double bottom. ROST stock rose towards its 2022 highs after closing in the range from a bottom base.

JD.com (Dinar) And the I reckon (ATKR) on tap early on a Friday.

Views topped JD.com’s earnings, while revenue declined in much the same way Ali Baba (Baba) early Thursday. JD shares rose modestly in pre-market trading. On Thursday, shares jumped 7.5% on Alibaba’s results, up to the 200-day line.

ATKR stock fell 3.5% on Thursday, but was comfortably above its 200-day line as it works on the right side of a deep cup base.

Dow jones futures today

Dow futures rose 0.4% against fair value. S&P 500 futures rose 0.6%. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.8%, with Techniques lifting AMAT and PANW stocks.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 3 basis points, to 3.8%.

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Crude oil futures fell, while natural gas fell more than 2%.

Remember to work in overnight Dow Jones futures contracts and elsewhere that does not necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular session Stock market session.


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Stock market rise

The stock market rally fell sharply at the open as St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Kansas City Fed President Esther George made hawkish remarks. Major indices rebounded to close flat to slightly lower.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was just below breakeven on Thursday Stock market trading. The S&P 500 fell 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.35%. Shares of the small-cap Russell 2000 company fell 0.9%.

Apple shares rose 1.3%. Microsoft shares returned two cents, and Google shares fell 0.5%. They all tested their 50-day streaks during the day. They are all below the 200-day lines with no obvious buy points. Tesla stock fell 2%, nearing the bottom of the November 9 bear market.

US crude oil prices fell 4.6% to $81.64 a barrel. In addition to the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric, he blamed Beijing’s renewed emphasis on “non-coronavirus” policies. China’s State Council reportedly warned cities to avoid “irresponsible easing” of COVID-19 measures, just a week after that high-profile body backed easing rules. On Wednesday, Peking University closed on one case. Covid infections have increased over the past two weeks in China.

The hawkish Fed raises Treasury yields

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 8 basis points, to 3.77%.

St. Louis Fed Bullard said the federal funds rate, currently at 3.75%-4%, should probably rise to 7%, well above the consensus of around 5%. George of the Kansas City Fed said a recession may be necessary to bring down inflation.

One of the reasons policy makers look to hawks is to raise market prices and curb the stock market rally. If financial conditions ease significantly on the Fed’s pivotal hopes, inflation could remain higher for longer, forcing the Fed to tighten policy rates further.

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Exchange Traded Funds

between the The best mutual fundsThe Innovator IBD 50 ETF (fifty) decreased by 0.1%. iShares Expanded Technology and Software ETF (IGV) was down 2.65%, even with MSFT stock as the main component. PANW stock is also the property of IGV. VanEck Vectors Semiconductor Corporation (SMH) fell 0.5%, with AMAT shares holding SMH notable.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETFs (XME) decreased by 2.1%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) decreased by 2%. Energy Defined Fund SPDR ETF (xle(down 0.5% and the SPDR Health Care Sector Selection Fund)XLV) decreased by 0.2%.

Reflecting more speculative stories, the ARK Innovation ETF (ARK)ark(gave up 2.8% and the ARK Genomics ETF)ARKG) 3.2%. TSLA stock is a major holding via Ark Invest’s ETF.


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Stock market rally analysis

The stock market rally tested some key levels at the open on Thursday. The Nasdaq found support just above the 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 fell to short-term highs in October for a brief period. Russell 2000 rebounded from near the 21-day streak. S&P 400 MidCap held the 200-day streak.

It can be said that the market was about to decline after a strong wave and the S&P 500 approached the 200-day line. Meanwhile, the market rally found support on Thursday in important areas. So the past two days have been somewhat normal and constructive for the major indices – assuming they can hold Thursday’s lows and eventually move higher.

However, the market retreated from Tuesday’s high to Thursday’s low, which led to a number of stocks breaking out or early entry points emerging in the past two days. Many of those entries tested or failed completely. Some bounce back while others may. In some cases, previous purchase points are still valid, while others may need to set new handles or other entries. Still others may struggle for a long time.

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A variety of stocks and sectors show interesting actions.

In all of these cases, a healthy market recovery will be key.

Apple, Microsoft and Google stocks are not market leaders and may not be for some time. But if they can avoid being late, that would be a huge help.


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What are you doing now

The stock market rally showed encouraging action on Thursday. The general trend has been higher over the past several weeks. But it was a winding road for investors.

Anyone who bought shares after October 21st Follow-up day It will likely be underwater by early November. While the indices rose on November 10 on the back of the CPI report, the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 have been steadily lower since then.

The stock market rally remains volatile, with sector turnover and large intraday swings complicating matters. Buying opportunities have often been the moment the market pulls the rug out from investors.

So keep exposure. Add exposure gradually – and be prepared to reduce exposure due to market conditions or individual stock selling rules.

Keep your watchlist updated so you can spot emerging leaders.

Read The Big Picture Every day to keep up with the market trend, stocks and leading sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @employee For stock market updates and more.

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