November 27, 2022

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Dolphins vs. Predictions.

Dolphins vs. Predictions.

The Cincinnati Bengals And the Miami Dolphin Week 4 in the NFL will begin when these two AFC clubs go from toe to toe during Thursday Night Football.

If you had told someone over the summer that one team would not be defeated before this match, most people would probably point out that the Bengals had a perfect record, right? After all, they were only in the Super Bowl and proud as a rising star in Joe Burrow. Well, the NFL has a funny way of turning the game on its head, given that Miami is the unbeaten in Week 4 and is fresh from an impressive win over Buffalo. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is trying to turn the tide after a 0-2 start and return to the .500 after beating the Planes in week 3.

Here, we will specifically look at the different betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with spread and total, we’ll also take a look at several player tools and offer our picks for how this showdown might look.

everybody NFL odds Via Caesars Sportsbook.

how to watch

Date: Thursday, September 29 | time: 8:15 PM ET
Site: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati)
Stream: Amazon Prime Video

Follow: CBS Sports . app
Prospect: Bengals -3.5, O/U 47.5

line movement

Featured game | Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

This line simulates a Ferris wheel. Back in the spring when the tables were released, the Bengals stood out as the favorites. However, at the start of Week 3, this early season surge in Miami pushed the Bengals -1.5. After the Bengals enjoyed a game on the right against New York and Tua Tagovailoa suffered a back and shoulder injury last week, the streak was back in favor of the Bengals, who were once again favorites with four points. But now Tagoviloa It is said that he is expected to playThe line is now Bengals -3.5.

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pickaxe: Dolphins +3.5. In most circumstances, this is the perfect place to disappoint dolphins. Quarterbacks banged out of an unlikely victory over the favorite team to win their league in buffalo bills. Not only that, but the Bengals finally entered the winning streak against New York last week. However, I’m not entirely convinced that Cincinnati has turned the tide. The Jets turned the ball four times last week, and the Bengals scored 13 points from that takeaway. I don’t expect the Dolphins to give the ball to the opponent much, and as long as the ball is still in the hands of Terek Hill and Jaylene Waddell, they can accumulate a lot of YAC to move the chains. The Bengals also rank last in the NFL in yards per game (4.5), while Miami tied for the second highest yards-per-game score in the league with Philadelphia.

main trend: The Dolphins have held 8-2 ATS in their last 10 matches after winning in a row.

More / Less Than Total

The Miami outbreak at the start of the season moved that total from where it had been in the spring. Initially, these encounters totaled 44 but they opened at 48.5 before week three. Perhaps the previously suspected case of Tua Tagovailoa was the reason for this total to start dropping a bit. With him now expected to play, it will be interesting to see if that number increases.

pickaxe: over 47.5. Just a slight tilt here. Miami’s offense showed it could explode at any moment, but Tagovailoa’s heavy blows tarnished her potential a bit. Meanwhile, the Bengals can be said to have a group of top five skill position players, but they haven’t played to their peak yet. Both teams are in the top 10 in the NFL on points per game with the Dolphins averaging 27.7 per game and the Bengals sitting at 21.3. If they simply play at their rates, we move on here.

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main trend: Over 6-0 in the last 6 Bengals matches after the Bengals won consecutively by over 14 points.

Props Tua Tagovailoa

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  • Traffic yards: 256.5 (above -111, below -123)

Tagovailoa’s health status has drastically reduced his props market as of writing this piece. He has surpassed that number in two of his three games this season. The only exception came last week when he was in and out of the game due to the possibility of a concussion. If he plays a full game – and definitely check his condition before placing that bet – he should be able to hit that mark. Dolphins QB is the best quarterback this junior has faced this season, allowing 9.9 yards for each finish over three weeks.

jo boro props

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  • Landing passes: 1.5 (above -174, below +126)
  • Traffic yards: 275.5 (above -117, below -117)
  • rush yards: 11.5 (above -117, below -117)
  • Pass attempts35.5 (above -127, below -108)
  • Longest pass completed: 37.5 (above -113, below -121)
  • completion: 24.5 (over -109, under -125)
  • Objections: 0.5 (above +104, below -142)

It looks like this could be a first leg and fourth game between these two teams, which should force Burrow to step back and pass a set. He has exceeded that total in each of his three games this season. Not only that, Burrow has attempted 35 or fewer passes in 12 of his career matches (41.3%). Dolphins are also giving up 297.7 yards per game this season, the second most in the NFL. With that in mind, Over on Burrow pass attempts and pass arenas deserve close attention.

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Player props to consider

Total receiving yards at Tyreek Hill: Over 70.5 (-123). It was a strange weekend for Hill in week three, seeing only four goals and pulling them in two passes. I consider this to be the anomaly and would expect his target share to be similar to what we saw for the first two weeks as he averaged 12.5 goals per game. If he sees that workload, keeps catching close to 72.4% of those targets and stays around 15.1 yards per receiving average, he’ll fly above that number.

Total number of Joe Mixon pickup yards: over 21.5 (-127). Mixon averages 6.6 goals per game this season and is facing a Dolphins defense that just gave up 143 yards of running back last week.